Igor's call, in full

Here is the honest warning inside the art boom. I forecast that by 2030, 60 percent of retail investors in fractional art end up net-negative once you account for platform fees and the 28 percent collectibles tax that eats the gains. The regulators will move. I forecast the first SEC fee-disclosure rule specifically for fractional art by 2027, forcing platforms to show investors what the fees and taxes really do to their returns. The trend is real and the asset class is growing, but the retail investor is often the one holding the worst end of the fee structure. I forecast it, and I say it plainly, because a forecast that only sells the upside is a sales pitch, not foresight.

Adjacent calls

Below the $10 million trophy tier, fractional ownership, tokenization, and ar devour the middle of the art market. Auction houses survive only as luxury brands.Early callAugmented reality becomes the default ownership and display layer for art below $1 million, stripping a third of the market from physical-only galleries.Early callBanks lend against fractional basquiats and picassos the way they lend against real estate. Tokenized art-backed lending becomes a $5 billion-plus slice of private credit by 2030.Early call

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