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Igor's call · 3D PRINTING

Additive manufacturing demolishes 40% of manufacturing, trade, and logistics by 2040. I made this call 15 years ago.

Resolves2040
Track record84% over 26 years
StatusPublic · call Nº 28
Every call dated & publicFull scoreboard

Igor's call, in full

Fifteen years ago I said 40 percent of manufacturing, global trade, and logistics would be demolished by 2040. I stand by it. As automation becomes standard, additive manufacturing starts to dematerialize supply chains: you print the product where you need it instead of shipping it around the world. I forecast 30 percent of products are 3D-printed and 40 percent of manufacturing, trade, and logistics is disrupted by 2040, with roughly $1 trillion of value shifting to decentralized production by 2050. The dual mandate for leaders: automate to win the 2030s with IoT and IIoT, then dematerialize toward the 2040s with additive manufacturing. Own not just the product but the print-authorized file, the materials spec, and the certification path. Your moat becomes the data and the governance.

3D PRINTING: 30% OF PRODUCTS AND 40% OF MANUFACTURING/TRADE/LOGISTICS BY 2040.
$1 TRILLION IN DECENTRALIZATION BY 2050.

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