Start with something everyone knows: Google search ads. An advertiser pays Google every time someone clicks the ad. That created a whole industry of fake clicks, bots and click farms clicking ads that no human ever saw, so the click gets billed anyway. That is click fraud. It costs advertisers $100 billion a year.
Chatbait is the same idea with a new meter. With an AI chatbot you do not pay per click, you pay per token: every word the AI writes. So the trick is to make you write 1 more message. The little question at the end of every answer, want a shorter version, shall I turn this into a post, looks like service. It is the meter ticking.
It is not the chatbot's business model. It is an extra way to earn on top of the subscription, the way click fraud was an extra layer on top of real advertising.
The Atlantic coined the word chatbait in 2025. Instagram co-founder Kevin Systrom called it juicing engagement, the rabbit hole social media fell into before. Chatbait is the visible half of AI token bait. The invisible half hides inside the answer itself.
Read the full predictionAI, AGI, ASI, and the Future of IntelligenceSimple. In America, "AI" became a dirty word.
In US polls, AI scores worse than ICE, the immigration police. 7 in 10 Americans refuse to let a data center set up next door.
The AI backlash turned physical: booed CEOs, Molotovs, bullets. Artists, writers, and musicians worldwide saw their life's work scraped without a cent.
I predicted the AI backlash 20 years ago. When your product name turns toxic, you rename the product. Big Tobacco did it. Big Oil did it. Now Big Tech.
So on 29 September 2026, Donald Trump signed an executive order: every US federal agency drops "artificial intelligence" and says "Super Intelligence" (SI). Trump's version: "artificial" is a fake word.
Same lunch, same day, the Big Tech bros signed the White House Accord on Super Intelligence: Jensen Huang (Nvidia), Elon Musk (xAI), Mark Zuckerberg (Meta), Sundar Pichai (Google), Greg Brockman (OpenAI) and Dario Amodei (Anthropic). Voluntary. Not a law.
Huang already sells "super intelligence factories" instead of data centers. Musk, 240 million followers on X, corrected himself on stage: "SI, pardon me."
The American people? YouGov: 53% keep "artificial intelligence", 9% want "super intelligence". The rest of the world was not asked.
My opinion, as I posted it that night, with Trump as a clown:
Trump's tech bros scraped all books, talks, and tracks. Raped artists, IP, and ancient intelligence. No empathy, no compassion, pure theft and injustice. And then Trump dubbed it Super Intelligence. SI. The tech bros signed.
Who is a president to rename an entire industry? Not his business. A rebrand is not a breakthrough.
Hallucinations, token bait, and censorship ride along under the new label.
I don't trust red or blue. I seek truth. I fear people, not technology.
Join 55K fellow misfits, freeAI, AGI, ASI, and the Future of IntelligenceRetail is the whole consumer-spending universe, $35 trillion in 2025. Online is 1 channel inside it, 1 dollar in 5. The analysts cannot even agree on the 2030 total, $36 trillion to $51 trillion, because each counts retail differently. So I make no call on the total. I make the call on the mix: by 2030 retail stops being a place.
Read the full predictionMarketing, Media, Advertising, and MarTechBecause farming is being squeezed from every direction. Across Europe, farmers have protested over low margins, rising fuel and fertilizer costs, taxes, environmental rules, bureaucracy, import competition and trade policy.
The exact reasons differ by country.
Dutch farmers fought nitrogen policy. German farmers protested changes to diesel-tax support. French farmers challenged bureaucracy, pesticide rules and imports. Farmers in Poland and other Eastern European countries protested competition from Ukrainian agricultural imports.
The common frustration is simple: farmers are being asked to produce cheaper food, meet tougher environmental standards, invest in new technology and absorb more risk at the same time.
AgTech can help reduce water, chemicals, fuel and labor.
But technology does not fix bad economics.
No farmers, no food. And no algorithm changes that.
Read the full predictionHealth, Food, Farming, Longevity, and Wellness$6.8 trillion in 2024, up 7.9% in a year, and 6.1% of world GDP, growing faster than the world economy every year since 2013. The analysts say $9.8 trillion by 2029. My call: $12 trillion by 2030. That figure counts beauty. Strip it out and 10 sectors still outgrow the world economy.
Read the full predictionHealth, Food, Farming, Longevity, and WellnessMy PAR stands at 84%, against Morgan Stanley near 46% and the king of futurism, Ray Kurzweil, at 86%. This is not a leaderboard chase. It is a challenge to an industry that hides its track record. When a Wall Street desk misses more than half its calls, the case for independent, measured forecasting writes itself.
Join 55K fellow misfits, freeForecasting, PAR, and IndependenceExponential technologies break business plans because humans plan in straight lines while technology moves on a curve. That gap builds fortunes and buries empires. Most failures are not stupidity. They are linear minds underestimating exponential speed. The curve does not care about your roadmap. Read it early, and disruption becomes your tailwind instead of your obituary.
Join 55K fellow misfits, freeForecasting, PAR, and IndependenceCopper, uranium, lithium, graphite, rare earths, silver, nickel, gold, titanium, and water. Every missile, chip, data center, humanoid, rocket, power grid, solar panel, and electric car needs them.
Read the full predictionMoney, Payments, Crypto, and Raw Materials
