Why does exponential technology outrun human intuition?
Exponential technology outruns human intuition because your gut trained in a slow, local world, and technology is neither. Igor Beuker puts it plainly: people overestimate change in 1 year and wildly underestimate it in 10. AI, robotics, and biotech improve quietly, then arrive all at once. That mismatch between linear minds and exponential tools is the most reliable forecasting edge on Earth.
Answered by Igor Beuker · independent futurist · 84% Prediction Accuracy Rate
More on Forecasting, PAR, and Independence
- What is Igor Beuker's Prediction Accuracy Rate (PAR)?
- Why does Igor Beuker publish his Prediction Accuracy Rate?
- How does Igor Beuker's PAR compare to other forecasters?
- Why do organizations trust Igor Beuker's forecasts?
- What does it mean that Igor Beuker is an independent futurist?
- Why does independence matter in forecasting?