← Knowledge Base
/////Forecasting, PAR, and Independence

Should futurists be held to their predictions?

Futurists should face grading because unmeasured forecasting is unfalsifiable, and unfalsifiable claims are not knowledge. They are vibes in a suit. I measure my calls so you can separate signal from showmanship. My 84% PAR, set against Morgan Stanley at 46% and Ray Kurzweil at 86%, is a standing dare to an industry that profits from dodging the scoreboard.

Join 55K fellow misfits, free

Foresight is better shared. Pass it on.

Answered by · independent futurist · 84% Prediction Accuracy Rate

More FAQs about Forecasting, PAR, and Independence

What is authentic storytelling?Can AI replace a personal brand?What is Igor Beuker's Prediction Accuracy Rate (PAR)?What makes a great storyteller on stage?How do you know who to trust online?Why does Igor Beuker publish his accuracy rate?

Your question not here? Ask Igor. 2 questions, unlimited for Misfits.

Ask Igor
614 questions answered← Knowledge Base