Why should futurists be held accountable for their predictions?
Futurists should face grading because unmeasured forecasting is unfalsifiable, and unfalsifiable claims are not knowledge. They are vibes in a suit. Igor Beuker measures his calls so you can separate signal from showmanship. His 84% PAR, set against Morgan Stanley at 46% and Ray Kurzweil at 86%, is a standing dare to an industry that profits from dodging the scoreboard.
Answered by Igor Beuker · independent futurist · 84% Prediction Accuracy Rate
More on Forecasting, PAR, and Independence
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