Big 5 consulting.
Will AI kill the Big 5 consulting firms?
No, AI will not kill the Big 5 consulting firms. It kills the analyst pyramid. By 2030 McKinsey, BCG, Bain, Accenture, and Deloitte run with fewer staff and fewer billable hours, because AI does the analyst work. Consulting does not disappear. The junior layer does.
Igor's predictions on Big 5 consulting
PredictionTrackingAI VS BIG 5 CONSULTING 2030AI VS BIG 5 CONSULTING: STAFF DOWN, BILLABLE HOURS DOWN.
PredictionTrackingQUANTUM COMPUTING 2030QUANTUM COMPUTING: THE $1 TRILLION DISRUPTION NOBODY IS PRICING.
PredictionTrackingAI VS STAFF COST 2030AI VS STAFF COST: AI BEATS THE PAYSLIP IN 50% OF ROLES.
PredictionTrackingMETAVERSE ECONOMY 2030METAVERSE ECONOMY: $5 TRILLION. DON'T DO IT THE ZUCKERBERG WAY.Questions about Big 5 consulting, answered
Will AI kill the Big 5 consulting firms?
No, AI will not kill the Big 5 consulting firms. It kills the analyst pyramid. By 2030 McKinsey, BCG, Bain, Accenture, and Deloitte run with fewer staff and fewer billable hours, because AI does the analyst work. Consulting does not disappear. The junior layer does.
Full answer →How do consulting firms survive AI?
With fewer junior analysts, more AI-directed work, and more implementation and transformation. The same force already hit software and media agencies, and I called both. Consulting is next on the list, not the exception to it.
Full answer →Will we still work in 2050?
Yes, we still work in 2050, but machines do most of the work we hate. Fewer hours, different jobs, more machine leverage. The prophets say otherwise. Elon Musk says AI and robots make work optional within 10 to 20 years and a universal basic income pays the bills, he calls it universal high income. Sam Altman funded the test: 1,000 Americans got $1,000 a month for 3 years, no strings. Result: they worked 1.3 hours a week less and were more likely to be job-hunting. Employment dipped 2 points. People kept working. That is the only one of the 2 with data, and the data says people keep working. Brilliant builders, not prophets. Each of them sells the robot, the software or the chip that needs you to believe it. The tape today says transformation, not extinction. Amazon passed 1 million robots in 2025, 5 times its 2019 fleet, while its headcount peaked in 2021 and has shrunk since to 1.56 million. McKinsey sold the automation decks, then cuts 10% of its own support staff as AI takes the work. Technology can empower humanity or control it. The only thing that controls technology is us, the people. I choose tech for good. I predicted this 15 years ago: if we imagine the future, robots and AI take over our repetitive, routine, dangerous, dirty and mind-killing jobs. By 2030 that is 30% of routine work, parts of jobs, not whole jobs. What we humans do is hospitality, service and mindful jobs: care, leadership, creativity, relationships, teaching, craftsmanship, judgment, wellbeing. That prediction holds for 2050. A basic income may become part of the safety net. It will not be the reason you stop working. I have no robot to sell and no share price to defend. The future is not humans versus robots. It is deciding which work stays human.
Full answer →How can AI save a small business time and money?
If you do it every week, ask why a machine is not doing it. US small-business workers using AI report saving an average 5.6 hours a week. Managers report 7.2. For a team of 10, matching that average could free 56 hours every week. More than 1 full-time workweek. Start with the repeat offenders: customer questions, bookings, emails, invoices, scheduling, supplier orders, bookkeeping, marketing and research. Do not buy 15 shiny AI tools because somebody on LinkedIn told you to. Automate the repetitive work. Send the exceptions to humans. The OECD surveyed more than 5,000 small and medium-sized enterprises across 7 countries. Generative AI was already used by 31%. Among users, 65% reported better employee performance, 35% said it helped them scale and 26% reported increased revenue. Many powerful AI tools start around $20 to $30 a month. Start with the task wasting the most time. Then measure it. My own receipt: we cut roughly $500,000 a year from research, reports and visual production after investing about $20,000 in AI, tools and automation. Roughly 25× gross savings versus investment. My result, not an industry average. I have been warning about this shift for years. McKinsey later modeled that by 2030, AI and automation could handle 27% of current work hours in Europe and 30% in the United States. My forecast: by 2030, AI and robots take 30% of routine work. Not 30% of humans. Parts of almost every job. Let the machines take the routine. You take the customer.
Full answer →How much value does quantum computing create?
$1 trillion by 2035 on my call, with McKinsey's high end at $2.7 trillion. Quantum is not a faster computer. It is a lockpick in a lab coat: the machine that simulates a cancer cure picks the lock on every bank, every wallet, every secret you ever encrypted.
Full answer →When does quantum computing arrive?
2030. For 30 years quantum was 5 years away. That joke just ended. McKinsey and Deloitte hide inside a decade-wide range. I name the year: 2030 is when quantum crosses from lab to leverage, the first fault-tolerant machines arrive, and re-encryption becomes law.
Full answer →Is drone delivery cheaper than a van?
Per flight, yes. Zipline's CEO says a flight costs about $1 at scale; McKinsey puts a van delivery at $9 to $11. In Texas Zipline charges $0.99 plus a service fee capped at $6. The catch: a drone carries 1 to 4 kilos, a van carries 300 parcels. So the drone is cheaper per urgent order and useless for the weekly shop. Watch the money, not the press releases: Zipline raised $600 million in January 2026 at a $7.6 billion value. Investors are paying for the 30-minute delivery, not for replacing UPS. That is the slice I count: $15 billion of $150 billion in 2030.
Full answer →How big is the metaverse economy by 2030?
$5 trillion a year: VR, AR, XR and mixed reality, plus virtual goods, e-commerce and services. McKinsey's own model now lands on the same number. The suits caught up to the call, they just charge $500 an hour to repeat it.
Full answer →