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/////Forecasting, PAR, and Independence
What makes a good futurist?
A good futurist studies incentives, adoption curves, demographics, and human behavior, then keeps score in public. I reject the crystal-ball act. The job is not certainty. It is preparing leaders for several plausible futures and being honest about the odds. The proof is a published track record. My 84% PAR exists so you judge the work by outcomes, not charisma.
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