Igor's call, in full

I forecast Artificial General Intelligence, machines matching human reasoning across the board, before 2030. Artificial Super Intelligence, machines that exceed us, follows between 2030 and 2040. I say this while calling out the Big Tech CEOs who inflate the timeline to pump their stock, the "AGI by 2025" crowd whose products cannot yet reliably add a column in a spreadsheet. The real curve is fast, but it is not their marketing curve. The honest read is this: AGI this decade, ASI the next. Plan your business and your life on that, not on the hype and not on the denial.

Adjacent calls

The global AI market scales into the hundreds of billions while its economic impact runs into the tens of trillions.On trackConversational ad placement inside AI chatbots surpasses the entire search advertising market by 2030.Early callBy 2030, AI infrastructure splits into two tiers: a contested public AI on land, and an untouchable sovereign AI in orbit, at sea, and on military bases.Early call

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