Igor's call · SEMICONDUCTORS (HBM)
South korea owns the most profitable layer of the AI chip stack, with sk hynix and samsung controlling more than 90% of global hbm by 2027-28.
Resolves2027
Track record84% over 26 years
StatusPublic · call Nº 23
Igor's call · SEMICONDUCTORS (HBM)
Igor's call, in full
Everyone watches Nvidia and TSMC. The quieter, more profitable story is memory. High Bandwidth Memory, HBM, is the ultra-fast memory that powers every AI system on the planet, and it is a near-duopoly. I forecast SK Hynix and Samsung control more than 90 percent of global HBM by 2027-28, and that South Korea passes Taiwan in chip equipment spending in 2026. Korea owns the layer of the AI stack with the fattest margins and the least competition. If you want to know who really wins the AI hardware war, do not just watch the logic chips. Watch the memory. That is where Korea quietly took the crown.
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