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Are the AGI forecasters moving their dates?

Yes, sooner. Every serious AGI forecaster who updated in early 2026 moved their date earlier, and the prediction markets, Metaculus, Polymarket and Kalshi, all price AGI inside this decade. Even the safety researchers warning of catastrophic risk plan on that horizon.

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Answered by · independent futurist · 84% Prediction Accuracy Rate

1 related prediction card

AGI BEFORE THE DECADE ENDS. THE $700 BILLION CAPEX RACE PROVES IT.

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