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What is Igor Beuker's Prediction Accuracy Rate (PAR)?
My Prediction Accuracy Rate (PAR) is 84%, measured across my published public forecasts over 25 years and benchmarked against Morgan Stanley at 46%. Ray Kurzweil is the world's number 1 with 86%. Every prediction on my scoreboard carries a year and a number, and a wrong call stays on the board. Most futurists sell confidence and bury their misses. I keep score in the open. A prediction you refuse to grade is not foresight. It is theater with a microphone.
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