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/////Forecasting, PAR, and Independence
Why does Igor Beuker publish his accuracy rate?
I publish my Prediction Accuracy Rate (PAR) because a forecaster who refuses grading sells vibes, not foresight. The industry rewards loud voices and forgets failed calls. Publishing an 84% accuracy rate invites the world to check my work, and that is the entire point. Anyone can predict. Almost no one will let you grade them.
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