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Does the West have the volume for live commerce?

Not in people. East and South Asia count about 4.7 billion; the US and EU together fewer than 800 million. The problem is habit. Live is still a small share of US e-commerce, and TikTok Shop's US live share fell from 26% to 18% in 1 year. Whatnot sold $8B live in 2025 and eBay Live grew 8x, so the players exist; the habit does not. My prediction: the West gets there through AI hosts, shoppable short video and 1-tap checkout, not 6-hour livestreams.

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Answered by · independent futurist · 84% Prediction Accuracy Rate

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