CELEBRITY BRANDS 2035
The first $10 billion celebrity brand arrives.
Key figures
My call: the first $10 billion celebrity brand by 2030, by 2035 more than half of all endorsement deals include equity.
The arithmetic: $1.8 trillion in annual revenue moves under celebrity-controlled distribution, a multi-trillion valuation shift.
Skin in the game: Sandbox Studios investor, 5 days on Necker Island with them in 2025.
The risk: when the person is the brand, the person is the volatility.
Fame is no longer rented. It is capitalized. For 260 years the formula never changed: Wedgwood sold "Queen's Ware" on royal patronage in the 1760s, athletes sold cereal in the 1930s, and the brand always kept the equity. That model just flipped. Celebrities sit on cap tables now.
The contracts tell the truth. SKIMS at roughly $5 billion. Ryan Reynolds turned Mint Mobile and Aviation Gin into 9-figure exits. Snoop Dogg's Dr. Bombay built national retail distribution, not a campaign. Kim Kardashian launched SKKY Partners to fund the next celebrity unicorns: the talent became the VC. 81 creator-economy acquisitions closed in 1 year. I forecast the first $10 billion celebrity brand by 2030, and by 2035 more than half of all endorsement deals include equity.
3 waves. Borrowed fame. Owned equity. Programmable fame: AI agents negotiating the deals, digital twins working while the star sleeps. $1.8 trillion of annual revenue moves under celebrity-controlled distribution. That is not optimism. It is arithmetic.
The risk, on the record: when the person is the brand, the person is the volatility. Peter Attia lost his protein-bar brand the week his name hit the Epstein files. Concentrated upside, concentrated downside.
I put my money where my forecast is: investor in Sandbox Studios, the first VC built for celebrity-founded brands, 5 days on Necker Island with them in 2025. The smartest capital of the next decade will not sponsor celebrities. It will build with them.
The call, on the record since February 2026→
